Post 10 · 50-1 · The Canadian Entry · Ontario-Bred
The 152nd Kentucky Derby was won by Golden Tempo (23-1), trained by Cherie Devaux — the first female trainer in history to win the race. Jockey Jose Ortiz rode a masterful race to sweep past 4-1 favorite Renegade in the final furlong. This horse finished 17th in the 152nd Kentucky Derby. Winner profile →
Race record and prep results leading to Churchill Downs
| Date | Race | Track | Dist. | Fin. | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 19, 2025 | Maiden Special Weight | Woodbine | 6f | 1st | Canadian debut; dominant |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Allowance | Woodbine | 7f | 1st | Stretched; comfortable |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Summer Stakes (G2) | Woodbine | 1m | 2nd | Strong runner-up, entered U.S. radar |
| Jan 10, 2026 | Allowance | Gulfstream Park | 1m | 1st | First U.S. start; won |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Louisiana Derby (G2) | Fair Grounds | 1&frac316;m | 3rd | Earned points; gained field entry as also-eligible |
| May 2, 2026 | Kentucky Derby (G1) | Churchill Downs | 1¼m | 17th | Finished out of the money — won by Golden Tempo (23-1) |
Harbor Watch was foaled in Oshawa, Ontario — a city on the northern shore of Lake Ontario, better known for its General Motors assembly plant than for thoroughbred breeding. He is a Canadian-bred horse attempting the most American of all races, and that contrast is part of what makes his story compelling.
His sire is Frosted, a son of Tapit who won the Metropolitan Handicap and the Woodward Stakes as a four-year-old before being retired to stud. Frosted is becoming a respected sire, and his horses tend to combine Tapit's classic distance aptitude with Frosted's own tactical versatility — they can race on or off the pace.
Harbor Light, his dam by Lemon Drop Kid, is the kind of broodmare that Canadian breeders prize: Lemon Drop Kid is a son of Kingmambo, a European-bred horse who became one of the most important sires in the history of the sport. His daughters tend to produce horses with a strong nervous system and an ability to handle different conditions — useful qualities for a horse who will race in the North American spring campaign.
Harbor Watch entered the Derby field as an also-eligible — his third-place finish in the Louisiana Derby gave him enough points to get in when two horses scratched. He is not here because he dominated his prep races. He is here because he accumulated enough points and found himself in a gate on the first Saturday of May. That's how it works sometimes. That's the Derby.
The last Canadian-bred horse to win the Kentucky Derby was Sunny's Halo in 1983 — 43 years ago.
Sunny's Halo was also trained by a Canadian trainer and was a massive upset on a day when favorites had
been struggling.
Mark Casse, Harbor Watch's trainer, has won the Preakness Stakes and the Travers Stakes working out of
his Canadian base. He commutes between Woodbine and major American tracks with the ease of a man who
has been doing it for decades. Patrick Husbands, the jockey, has been the leading rider at Woodbine
multiple times and has ridden on the international stage.
The Canadian entry is not a novelty act. These are serious, accomplished horsemen who have won major races.
They just happen to be from north of the border.
From Windsor, Ontario — Canada's most successful thoroughbred trainer
Mark Casse was born in Windsor, Ontario — the Canadian city directly across the Detroit River from the American city of the same name. He grew up with horses, following a family tradition that included his father Norman Casse, who trained in the United States. Mark built his career in Canada and became the dominant figure at Woodbine Racetrack in Toronto, where he has won the training title more times than any of his competitors.
But Casse never limited himself to Canada. He expanded his operation to include stalls at Keeneland, Churchill Downs, and Gulfstream Park. He trained Justify before Bob Baffert took over — a detail that reflects both the complexity of the horse business and the caliber of horses that flow through Casse's barn. He trained Tourist to win the Breeders' Cup Mile. He trained Classic Empire to a Preakness victory.
His Derby record shows multiple entries without a win, but the presence of his horses at Churchill Downs is never accidental. Casse is methodical and disciplined; he does not send horses to the Derby as a publicity stunt. Harbor Watch is here because Casse believes he can run well enough to matter.
From Barbados — 20+ years as the king of Canadian racing
Patrick Husbands was born in Barbados, the small Caribbean island nation that has produced more than its share of elite athletic talent. He came to Canada as a young man to pursue a riding career and never left — becoming the most decorated jockey in Woodbine history, winning the leading rider title there an extraordinary number of times.
His career at Woodbine spans more than two decades. He has ridden stakes winners across North America, has competed in international races, and has developed a reputation as one of the most reliable big-race riders on the Canadian circuit. His style is patient and strategic — he reads pace well, conserves his horse's energy in the early furlongs, and knows how to find running room in the stretch.
This is his Kentucky Derby debut. At 47 — an age when most jockeys have long retired — Husbands is getting his first shot at the most famous race in North American thoroughbred history. He carries with him the entire weight of Canadian racing's hopes and the quiet confidence of a man who has been the best at his job for two decades. A win today would be one of the great individual stories in Derby history.
The Krembil family — one of Canada's premier racing dynasties
Chiefswood Stable is the racing operation of the Krembil family of Toronto, Ontario — one of the most prominent families in Canadian thoroughbred racing. Robert Krembil made his fortune in the investment management industry and has channeled significant resources into racing, building one of the premier stables in Canada.
The Krembils have won major Canadian stakes races — the Queen's Plate, the Breeders' Stakes, the Prince of Wales Stakes, the Canadian Triple Crown's component races — and have consistently aimed for the biggest prizes available to their horses. Harbor Watch represents their most serious attempt at the Kentucky Derby.
For the Krembil family, a Derby win would be the culmination of years of investment in Canadian breeding and racing. It would also be a moment of national pride — the kind of thing that would resonate across the country in a way that Canadian racing victories rarely do. Harbor Watch is the vehicle for a big Canadian dream on a very American afternoon.
At 50-1, a $2 win bet on Harbor Watch returns $102 if he wins. Giacomo won the 2005 Derby at 50-1. Mine That Bird won in 2009 at 50-1. Rich Strike won the 2022 Derby at 80-1, closing from last to first in the final quarter-mile. Longshots win the Kentucky Derby. They do it with a frequency that should remind everyone that 20-horse fields at 1¼ miles are inherently chaotic.
Harbor Watch got into the field as an also-eligible, which means the market had already dismissed him before the draw. But the also-eligible entry that makes the field is still a real horse in a real gate. He has Mark Casse, who wins Preakness Stakes. He has Patrick Husbands, who has been the best rider in Canada for 20 years. He was bred in Ontario and he is here at Churchill Downs.
If Harbor Watch wins today, it will be 43 years since a Canadian-bred horse last won the Kentucky Derby. The 43-year drought ends sometime. Why not today?